Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000602 0.000693 0.000790 0.000900 0.001021 0.001151 0.001300
2025-05-18 0.000468 0.000593 0.000737 0.000911 0.001116 0.001348 0.001629
2025-05-25 0.000393 0.000533 0.000701 0.000914 0.001174 0.001478 0.001858
2025-06-01 0.000322 0.000466 0.000646 0.000885 0.001187 0.001552 0.002019
2025-06-08 0.000268 0.000412 0.000600 0.000859 0.001195 0.001613 0.002162
2025-06-15 0.000233 0.000379 0.000576 0.000856 0.001231 0.001706 0.002342
2025-06-22 0.000205 0.000350 0.000555 0.000854 0.001264 0.001794 0.002518
2025-06-29 0.000178 0.000321 0.000530 0.000842 0.001282 0.001863 0.002668
2025-07-06 0.000153 0.000292 0.000502 0.000825 0.001291 0.001916 0.002798
2025-07-13 0.000141 0.000282 0.000500 0.000844 0.001348 0.002036 0.003018
2025-07-20 0.000129 0.000270 0.000494 0.000856 0.001396 0.002144 0.003223
2025-07-27 0.000114 0.000250 0.000475 0.000846 0.001412 0.002205 0.003366
2025-08-03 0.000099 0.000229 0.000452 0.000830 0.001417 0.002254 0.003494
2025-08-10 0.000090 0.000220 0.000448 0.000842 0.001464 0.002363 0.003709
2025-08-17 0.000081 0.000208 0.000437 0.000844 0.001496 0.002450 0.003893
2025-08-24 0.000069 0.000187 0.000411 0.000817 0.001482 0.002470 0.003982
2025-08-31 0.000059 0.000169 0.000387 0.000792 0.001468 0.002489 0.004069
2025-09-07 0.000052 0.000159 0.000376 0.000789 0.001490 0.002560 0.004233
2025-09-14 0.000047 0.000150 0.000367 0.000787 0.001513 0.002633 0.004399
2025-09-21 0.000041 0.000139 0.000353 0.000777 0.001520 0.002681 0.004531
2025-09-28 0.000035 0.000128 0.000336 0.000761 0.001517 0.002714 0.004640
2025-10-05 0.000033 0.000125 0.000338 0.000778 0.001572 0.002837 0.004885
2025-10-12 0.000030 0.000122 0.000337 0.000790 0.001615 0.002944 0.005108